2010 in review and Happy New Year

Happy New Year to all of you. I am confident 2011 will be a better year when effects of financial turmoils from 2008 will finally be behind all economies.

In 2010 few exciting developments happened in the field of wireless communications:

  • Apple started selling iPad. For a first generation device it set the bar very high as it is expected from Apple.
  • Android, as predicted, became the most exciting mobile OS with an explosive growth in devices from many vendors.
  • Telstra started serving HSPA+ category 24 real (not just press announcements) devices (providing 42 Mbps peak throughput).
  • LTE was launched in service in North America, Japan following earlier launches in Europe and Asia in 2009.

I expect 2011 to be a more exciting year with more developments on the devices, bigger adoption of high throughput wireless technologies, and more mash-ups involving mobility, context-awareness (location, speed, acceleration, etc.) and semantic information, especially related to the content generated by users. Some not so bold predictions for 2011 include:

  • New generation of iPad will be a phenomenal success but it will lose market share to Android tablets.
  • A CDMA iPhone for Verizon users will be reality. It would be a shame if it doesn’t use Qualcomm Gobi including LTE support.
  • There will be multiple Android HSPA+ handsets with category 14 (21 Mbps) capability.
  • There will be multiple HSPA+ category 24 USB devices providing 42 Mbps capability. In North America both T-Mobile and AT&T will start providing service to such devices in select markets.
  • Network build-outs will accelerate to keep up with the capacity demand across the markets where data traffic is increasing rapidly. In the USA, at least 20,000 new cell sites will be commissioned.
  • Femtocells will be a more common scenario for solving coverage problems. However, they will not be adopted as capacity enhancements except for select operators using them in enterprise deployments.
  • Solutions for hard problems such as Robust Header Compression, large-scale IMS deployments, Voice over LTE (not Circuit Switched FallBack) will continue to linger.
  • Rich Communication Suite (RCS) will not be deployed. 🙂

Folks at WordPress.com mulled over how this blog did in 2010, and following is a high level summary of its overall blog health. In 2011, I plan to write on more diverse set of topics affecting wireless communications. If you happen to have any comments or suggestions for topics, please drop me a note.

Once again Happy New Year,

Murat Bilgic

Principal-WirelessE2E

Healthy blog!

The Blog-Health-o-Meter™ reads This blog is doing awesome!.

Crunchy numbers

Featured image

The Leaning Tower of Pisa has 296 steps to reach the top. This blog was viewed about 1,000 times in 2010. If those were steps, it would have climbed the Leaning Tower of Pisa 3 times

In 2010, there were 15 new posts, not bad for the first year! There were 42 pictures uploaded, taking up a total of 2mb. That’s about 4 pictures per month.

The busiest day of the year was September 13th with 66 views. The most popular post that day was About.

Where did they come from?

The top referring sites in 2010 were trusted-advisor-mobile.com, linkedin.com, convergenceconversation.com, connectedplanetonline.com, and statistics.bestproceed.com.

Some visitors came searching, mostly for lg ad600, sipto, wireless content distribution in the home, fast dormancy ericsson, and fcc spectrum utility.

Attractions in 2010

These are the posts and pages that got the most views in 2010.

1

About June 2010
2 comments

2

Traffic Offloading: WiFi to Rescue September 2010
2 comments

3

Where on earth are these LTE devices? In the US? October 2010

4

Why WiFi is still needed to supplement LTE September 2010
3 comments

5

IPv6 for Mobile Networks: Time to Act Now! October 2010
2 comments

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One Response to 2010 in review and Happy New Year

  1. Ben says:

    I like your predictions. Here are some comments and some of mine:

    Android tablets – these will range from trash to high end, but I see WiFi as being the real winner here, not 3G/4G. There’s just too much hassle and cost in that space except for the high-end tablets. Honeycomb will debut and we’ll have to see if it’s worthwhile.
    RIM will try and fail with their tablet, unless they bring on board some serious enterprise applications and go vertical.
    100% certainty on the Verizon iPhone. This’ll lead to a neat split in subs between VZW and AT&T. Android will become even more strategically important as these two fight for people who don’t want an iPhone.
    The iPhone 5 will be awesome and fix the antenna issue. It won’t have a 3D display.
    Smartphones will launch with 3D displays outside of Japan (no specs required).
    HSPA+ and LTE will enable huge throughput, but like Clear’s WiMax, they will face serious challenges when the increase user numbers take advantage of it all and the backhaul starts to limit throughput. It’s a guess, but I think hooking up T3’s to each of the new cell sites will take some time, or not be done at all.
    Battery life on smartphones will crack the magic 2 day number (with usage).
    Screen sizes will stop at 4.5″ for the super-phone category.

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